2026 Week 5 · Oct 11, 2026 · Hard
Browns at Jets final drive: call the plays
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The situation
Cleveland Browns down 5 (12–17), 1:41 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 20. You are the play-caller for this Browns at Jets final drive.
- Score
- Browns 12, Jets 17
- Clock
- 1:41, Q4
- Ball
- 1st & 10, own 20
- Timeouts
- 0 left (defense 2)
- Difficulty
- Hard
- Typical win rate
- 9%
The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Todd Monken; the defense was coached by Aaron Glenn.
What really happened on this drive
Play the drive first: the real calls are below.
Show the real play-by-play (4 plays)
The Browns turned it over. Final score: Browns 12, Jets 17, a loss for Browns.
- 1st & 10 at the own 20, 1:41 · Quick out (costly)
4-D.Watson pass short right to 44-H.Fannin to CLE 24 for 4 yards (2-J.Brownlee; 56-D.Davis). - 2nd & 6 at the own 24, 1:12 · Quick out (close)
4-D.Watson pass incomplete short right to 12-D.Boston (1-A.Thomas) [56-D.Davis]. - 3rd & 6 at the own 24, 1:07 · Quick out (close)
4-D.Watson pass incomplete short right [31-D.Bailey]. - 4th & 11 at the own 19, 0:57 · Deep middle (best call)
4-D.Watson sacked at CLE 19 for 0 yards (9-W.McDonald). FUMBLES (9-W.McDonald) [9-W.McDonald], touched at CLE 18, RECOVERED by NYJ-9-W.McDonald at CLE 17.
By our grades, Todd Monken made the best or a near-best call (green) on 1 of 4 graded snaps and gave up 2.5 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.
How this final drive is graded
Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.
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