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2026 Week 2 · Sep 20, 2026 · Easy

Colts at Chiefs final drive: call the plays

KC27
0:244th
27IND
1st & 10Ball on own 16
KCIND101020203030404050504040303020201010

Any score wins it

You’re the play-caller. Tap a play to snap it.

Pick your first play

Run

Pass

Clock & kick

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The situation

Kansas City Chiefs tied (27–27), 0:24 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 16. You are the play-caller for this Colts at Chiefs final drive.

Score
Chiefs 27, Colts 27
Clock
0:24, Q4
Ball
1st & 10, own 16
Timeouts
3 left (defense 1)
Difficulty
Easy
Typical win rate
50%

The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Andy Reid; the defense was coached by Shane Steichen.

What really happened on this drive

Play the drive first: the real calls are below.

Show the real play-by-play (5 plays)

The Chiefs ran out of time. Final score: Chiefs 33, Colts 30, a win for Chiefs.

  1. 1st & 10 at the own 16, 0:24 · Screen (best call)
    15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right.
  2. 2nd & 10 at the own 16, 0:22 · Inside run (best call)
    9-K.Walker up the middle to KC 24 for 8 yards (0-C.Bynum).
  3. 3rd & 2 at the own 24, 0:16 · Inside run (best call)
    9-K.Walker left guard to KC 29 for 5 yards (0-C.Bynum).
  4. 1st & 10 at the own 29, 0:11 · Quick out (costly)
    15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce to KC 46 for 17 yards (51-A.Davis-Gaither).
  5. 1st & 10 at the own 46, 0:03 · Short middle (best call)
    15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 4-R.Rice to IND 23 for 31 yards (29-C.Taylor-Britt; 30-H.Wohler).

By our grades, Andy Reid made the best or a near-best call (green) on 4 of 5 graded snaps and gave up 1.6 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.

How this final drive is graded

Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.

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