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2026 Week 4 · Oct 4, 2026 · Medium

Rams at Eagles final drive: call the plays

LA17
2:524th
20PHI
1st & 10Ball on own 25
LAPHI101020203030404050504040303020201010

Field goal ties · TD wins

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The situation

Los Angeles Rams down 3 (17–20), 2:52 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 25. You are the play-caller for this Rams at Eagles final drive.

Score
Rams 17, Eagles 20
Clock
2:52, Q4
Ball
1st & 10, own 25
Timeouts
2 left (defense 2)
Difficulty
Medium
Typical win rate
31%

The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Sean McVay; the defense was coached by Nick Sirianni.

What really happened on this drive

Play the drive first: the real calls are below.

Show the real play-by-play (10 plays)

The Rams scored a touchdown. Final score: Rams 24, Eagles 20, a win for Rams.

  1. 1st & 10 at the own 25, 2:52 · Quick out (best call)
    9-M.Stafford pass short right to 12-P.Nacua pushed ob at LA 32 for 7 yards (11-J.Campbell).
  2. 2nd & 3 at the own 32, 2:47 · Quick out (close)
    9-M.Stafford pass short right to 12-P.Nacua to LA 48 for 16 yards (2-T.Woolen).
  3. 1st & 10 at the own 48, 2:26 · Quick out (close)
    9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee ran ob at PHI 39 for 13 yards.
  4. 1st & 10 at the opp 39, 2:20 · Quick out (close)
    9-M.Stafford pass short left to 8-T.Atwell to PHI 31 for 8 yards (31-J.Jones; 33-C.DeJean).
  5. 2nd & 2 at the opp 31, 2:00 · Screen (close)
    9-M.Stafford pass short right to 12-P.Nacua to PHI 19 for 12 yards (24-A.Mukuba; 97-M.Ojomo).
  6. 1st & 10 at the opp 19, 1:37 · Short middle (best call)
    9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short middle to 17-D.Adams (31-J.Jones).
  7. 2nd & 10 at the opp 19, 1:32 · Outside run (close)
    9-M.Stafford scrambles right end pushed ob at PHI 11 for 8 yards (11-J.Campbell).
  8. 3rd & 2 at the opp 11, 1:24 · Inside run (best call)
    23-K.Williams right guard to PHI 8 for 3 yards (17-A.Ebiketie; 54-J.Trotter).
  9. 1st & Goal at the opp 8, 1:22 · Inside run (costly)
    23-K.Williams right guard to PHI 7 for 1 yard (35-M.Carter; 24-A.Mukuba).
  10. 2nd & Goal at the opp 7, 1:17 · Outside run (costly)
    23-K.Williams left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

By our grades, Sean McVay made the best or a near-best call (green) on 3 of 10 graded snaps and gave up 2.4 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.

How this final drive is graded

Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.

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