2026 Week 3 · Sep 27, 2026 · Hard
Rams at Broncos final drive: call the plays
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The situation
Los Angeles Rams down 4 (26–30), 0:42 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 33. You are the play-caller for this Rams at Broncos final drive.
- Score
- Rams 26, Broncos 30
- Clock
- 0:42, Q4
- Ball
- 1st & 10, own 33
- Timeouts
- 1 left (defense 2)
- Difficulty
- Hard
- Typical win rate
- 8%
The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Sean McVay; the defense was coached by Sean Payton.
What really happened on this drive
Play the drive first: the real calls are below.
Show the real play-by-play (8 plays)
The Rams turned it over. Final score: Rams 26, Broncos 30, a loss for Rams.
- 1st & 10 at the own 33, 0:42 · Quick out (close)
9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 4-K.Mumpfield (21-R.Moss). - 2nd & 10 at the own 33, 0:37 · Quick out (costly)
9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 17-D.Adams. - 3rd & 10 at the own 33, 0:32 · Quick out (close)
9-M.Stafford pass short right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 48 for 19 yards (22-B.Jones). - 1st & 10 at the opp 48, 0:26 · Quick out (costly)
9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short right to 89-T.Higbee. The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 89-T.Higbee ran ob a - 1st & 10 at the opp 34, 0:21 · Deep sideline (costly)
9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep left to 17-D.Adams. - 2nd & 10 at the opp 34, 0:16 · Deep sideline (big mistake)
9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 23-K.Williams to DEN 14 for 20 yards (26-D.Key). - 1st & 10 at the opp 14, 0:03 · Spike
9-M.Stafford spiked the ball to stop the clock. - 2nd & 15 at the opp 19, 0:02 · Deep sideline (costly)
9-M.Stafford pass deep right intended for 17-D.Adams INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Hufanga at DEN -1. Touchback.
By our grades, Sean McVay made the best or a near-best call (green) on 0 of 7 graded snaps and gave up 5.0 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.
How this final drive is graded
Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.
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Broncos down 3, 3:38 left, ball on own 35.
Call this driveTexans at Colts final drive
Colts down 1, 1:48 left, ball on own 35.
Call this drive