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2026 Week 3 · Sep 27, 2026 · Hard

Vikings at Buccaneers final drive: call the plays

TB16
0:284th
23MIN
1st & 10Ball on own 31
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Touchdown, then two to tie

You’re the play-caller. Tap a play to snap it.

Pick your first play

Run

Pass

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The situation

Tampa Bay Buccaneers down 7 (16–23), 0:28 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 31. You are the play-caller for this Vikings at Buccaneers final drive.

Score
Buccaneers 16, Vikings 23
Clock
0:28, Q4
Ball
1st & 10, own 31
Timeouts
0 left (defense 2)
Difficulty
Hard
Typical win rate
1%

The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Todd Bowles; the defense was coached by Kevin O'Connell.

What really happened on this drive

Play the drive first: the real calls are below.

Show the real play-by-play (4 plays)

The Buccaneers turned it over. Final score: Buccaneers 16, Vikings 23, a loss for Buccaneers.

  1. 1st & 10 at the own 31, 0:28 · Deep sideline (best call)
    10-J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to 17-T.Hurst.
  2. 2nd & 10 at the own 31, 0:21 · Outside run (best call)
    10-J.Daniels scrambles left end ran ob at TB 41 for 10 yards (55-E.Wilson). The Replay Official reviewed the first down ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 10-J.Daniels scrambles left end ran ob
  3. 3rd & 1 at the own 40, 0:14 · Quick out (best call)
    10-J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to 1-K.Gainwell (51-B.Cashman).
  4. 4th & 1 at the own 40, 0:08 · Deep sideline (best call)
    10-J.Daniels pass deep right INTERCEPTED by 2-I.Rodgers at MIN 3. 2-I.Rodgers to MIN 3 for no gain (17-T.Hurst).

By our grades, Todd Bowles made the best or a near-best call (green) on 4 of 4 graded snaps and gave up 0.5 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.

How this final drive is graded

Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.

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