New: replay the final drives from this week’s NFL games

Play this week
Daily Play Call

2026 Week 1 · Sep 13, 2026 · Easy

Bills at Texans final drive: call the plays

BUF30
3:134th
31HOU
1st & 10Ball on own 4
BUFHOU101020203030404050504040303020201010

A field goal wins it

You’re the play-caller. Tap a play to snap it.

Pick your first play

Run

Pass

Loading real NFL plays…

The situation

Buffalo Bills down 1 (30–31), 3:13 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 4. You are the play-caller for this Bills at Texans final drive.

Score
Bills 30, Texans 31
Clock
3:13, Q4
Ball
1st & 10, own 4
Timeouts
3 left (defense 3)
Difficulty
Easy
Typical win rate
37%

The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Sean McDermott; the defense was coached by DeMeco Ryans.

What really happened on this drive

Play the drive first: the real calls are below.

Show the real play-by-play (7 plays)

The Bills scored a touchdown. Final score: Bills 36, Texans 31, a win for Bills.

  1. 1st & 10 at the own 4, 3:13 · Inside run (best call)
    4-J.Cook left guard to BUF 16 for 12 yards (24-D.Stingley). FUMBLES (24-D.Stingley), recovered by BUF-64-O.Torrence at BUF 19.
  2. 1st & 10 at the own 19, 2:34 · Play action (best call)
    17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox to BUF 26 for 7 yards (3-K.Lassiter; 39-H.To'oTo'o). HOU-39-H.To'oTo'o was injured during the play.
  3. 2nd & 3 at the own 26, 2:06 · Quick out (best call)
    17-J.Allen pass short right to 4-J.Cook ran ob at BUF 32 for 6 yards (24-D.Stingley).
  4. 1st & 10 at the own 32, 2:00 · Play action (best call)
    17-J.Allen pass short right to 86-D.Kincaid pushed ob at HOU 33 for 35 yards (5-J.Pitre).
  5. 1st & 10 at the opp 33, 1:53 · Inside run (close)
    4-J.Cook up the middle to HOU 34 for -1 yards (0-A.Al-Shaair).
  6. 2nd & 11 at the opp 34, 1:48 · Play action (close)
    17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep left to 5-J.Palmer.
  7. 3rd & 11 at the opp 34, 1:41 · Deep middle (best call)
    17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 5-J.Palmer for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

By our grades, Sean McDermott made the best or a near-best call (green) on 5 of 7 graded snaps and gave up 1.3 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.

How this final drive is graded

Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.

More final drives from 2026 Week 1

All 2026 Week 1 final drives

Play today’s daily drive · Every daily play-calling drive