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2026 Week 1 · Sep 13, 2026 · Easy

Saints at Lions final drive: call the plays

NO24
0:274th
24DET
1st & 10Ball on own 20
NODET101020203030404050504040303020201010

Any score wins it

You’re the play-caller. Tap a play to snap it.

Pick your first play

Run

Pass

Clock & kick

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The situation

New Orleans Saints tied (24–24), 0:27 left in the fourth quarter, 1st & 10 on the own 20. You are the play-caller for this Saints at Lions final drive.

Score
Saints 24, Lions 24
Clock
0:27, Q4
Ball
1st & 10, own 20
Timeouts
1 left (defense 3)
Difficulty
Easy
Typical win rate
50%

The difficulty comes from how often a typical NFL play-caller wins from this spot in our simulation. The real head coach was Kellen Moore; the defense was coached by Dan Campbell.

What really happened on this drive

Play the drive first: the real calls are below.

Show the real play-by-play (5 plays)

The Saints missed a field goal. Final score: Saints 30, Lions 31, a loss for Saints.

  1. 1st & 10 at the own 20, 0:27 · Inside run (close)
    3-T.Etienne up the middle to NO 38 for 18 yards (4-D.Reed). ** Injury Update: NO-12-C.Olave has returned to the game.
  2. 1st & 10 at the own 38, 0:21 · Deep middle (best call)
    6-T.Shough pass deep middle to 83-J.Johnson to DET 44 for 18 yards (29-A.Maddox).
  3. 1st & 10 at the opp 44, 0:07 · Spike
    6-T.Shough spiked the ball to stop the clock.
  4. 2nd & 10 at the opp 44, 0:06 · Quick out (best call)
    6-T.Shough pass incomplete short right.
  5. 3rd & 10 at the opp 44, 0:02 · Field goal (best call)
    10-D.Carlson 62 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-17-R.Wright.

By our grades, Kellen Moore made the best or a near-best call (green) on 3 of 4 graded snaps and gave up 0.7 win-probability points per call on average. Plays with penalties are not graded.

How this final drive is graded

Every call you make is compared with every other call available on that snap. We play out the rest of the drive hundreds of times from your exact down, distance, field position, clock and timeouts, with results drawn from real NFL plays and a typical NFL play-caller making the later calls. The difference in win probability between your call and the best call is your grade for that snap. The final drive result, touchdown or not, does not change the grades. Read the full method.

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